Science of Success
Quantifying the emergence of success and societal impact
The goal of the Science of Success project is to develop measures, models and predictions that offer actionable information towards a quantitative evaluation of success in a diverse range of competitive settings, from science to sports and software development. Our work is driven by the hypothesis that success can become predictable to a substantial extent if we see it not as an individual phenomenon, but rather as a collective one. For a scientific finding, an athlete, or a software product to be successful, it is not enough to be novel, fundamental or high-performing - the community must agree that it is worthy of praise and follow-up. Our aim is to understand the fundamental patterns that govern community impact by analyzing the evolution of career paths, of individual and team performances, and the dynamics of impact, using large-scale data sets that provide quantitative information on performance and success.