|Talks|

Link-tracing studies of hidden networks

Visiting speaker
Past Talk
Forrest W. Crawford
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Biostatistics, Yale University
Nov 7, 2016
2:30 pm
Nov 7, 2016
2:30 pm
In-person
4 Thomas More St
London E1W 1YW, UK
The Roux Institute
Room
100 Fore Street
Portland, ME 04101
Network Science Institute
2nd floor
Network Science Institute
11th floor
177 Huntington Ave
Boston, MA 02115
Network Science Institute
2nd floor
Room
58 St Katharine's Way
London E1W 1LP, UK

Talk recording

Respondent-driven sampling (RDS) is a link-tracing survey method for sampling members of a hidden or hard-to-reach population such as drug users, sex workers, or homeless people via their social network.  Starting with a set of “seed” subjects, participants use a small number of coupons tagged with a unique code to recruit their social contacts by giving them a coupon.  Subjects report their network degree, but not the identities of their contacts.  RDS is controversial and researchers disagree about whether it can be used to estimate population-level characteristics of hidden risk groups.  In this presentation, I outline four results that permit principled network-based epidemiology from RDS. First, I show that a simple continuous-time model of RDS recruitment implies a well-defined probability distribution on the recruitment-induced subgraph of respondents; the resulting distribution is an exponential random graph model (ERGM).  I develop a computationally efficient method for estimating the hidden graph.  Second, I show that two sources of dependence in the RDS sample — network homophily and preferential recruitment — are confounded. However, it is still possible to make valid inferences via nonparametric graph-theoretic identification regions that permit hypothesis testing. Third, I derive conservative standard errors via graph-theoretic bounds for statistical functionals of the induced subgraph and traits of sampled subjects, including estimators of the population mean. Fourth, I describe a simple technique — based on capture-recapture and the network scale-up method — for estimating the size of a hidden population from an RDS sample. I apply these techniques to RDS studies of drug users in Eastern Europe, Russia, and Lebanon.

About the speaker
Forrest W. Crawford PhD is Assistant Professor, Department of Biostatistics, Yale School of Public Health and Department ofEcology & Evolutionary Biology, Yale University. He is affiliated with the Center for Interdisciplinary Research on AIDS, the Institute forNetwork Science, the Computational Biology and Bioinformatics program, and the Operations doctoral program at the Yale School ofManagement. He is the recipient of the NIH Director's New InnovatorAward and a Yale Center for Clinical Investigation Scholar Award. His research interests include networks, graphs, stochastic processes, and optimization for applications in epidemiology, public health, and social science.
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Nov 07, 2016