This work focuses on modeling disease spread, contagion and diffusion processes across social and technical spaces in living systems. The goal is to develop mechanistically realistic predictive models of human disease and mobility at the meta-population level. Models are used to forecast spreading of infectious agents to determine risk threat such as thresholds of disease, containment strategies, and effectiveness of targeted interventions. Results from these projects are reported to the WHO and CDC who use our recommendations to set protocols and policies.
Beyond R0: heterogeneity in secondary infections and probabilistic epidemic forecasting
Featured news coverage
Wall Street Journal, October 2014
NPR, August 2016
The Global Epidemic and mobility (GLEAM) project has developed new computational techniques and software for the simulation of emerging infectious diseases spreading across the world. The team uses a network approach to map complex human mobility patterns that account for social interaction behaviors, travel patterns (eg, commuting routes), and transportation infrastructures (eg, metro and airline connections). The simulation interface provides a dynamic visualization of spatial contagion across geographical census areas, and quantitatively evaluates the geo-temporal evolution of the disease.